Your Edge in Volatile Markets: How MarketModel Delivered +34.2% in 2023

Discover how MarketModel's macro-driven strategy outperformed the S&P 500 and helped investors navigate uncertainty with confidence.

Volatility tests everyone. Most traders get whipsawed by noise. But at MarketModel Trades, we don’t react—we anticipate. Our macro framework kept us steady in 2023 while the rest of the market scrambled.

And the results?
📈 +34.2% total return in 2023, outperforming the S&P 500 with discipline, not hype.

We don’t chase news cycles or meme stocks. We use macroeconomic conditions to forecast market direction and tie them directly to actionable trading setups.

A trader calmly reviewing macroeconomic charts while negative financial news headlines flash on screen.

Flashback to March 2023: Everyone Saw a Crash. We Saw a Setup.

 

It’s March 2023. Here’s what the financial media is screaming:

📰 “Housing Collapse Will Be Worse Than 2008!”
📰 “Consumer is Tapped Out!”
📰 “Tech Layoffs Signal Recession Imminent!”

Meanwhile, at MarketModel, we posted this to our Substack:

Housing is stabilizing, not collapsing. Consumers are liquid in Treasuries and hard assets. Macro remains resilient.
— Mike Valletutti
 

What We Saw (That Others Missed)

At MarketModel, we go deeper than surface-level data. Here's how our macro framework dissected the noise:

🔍 Lending Standards: Post-2008 regulations kept home lending sane—no subprime contagion risk.
🔍 Savings Rate Misread: Cash levels appeared low, but capital had rotated into bonds and real estate—still liquid.
🔍 Macro Tailwinds: Low unemployment, stable wage growth, and tight housing supply created a floor for the economy.

This wasn’t a bet. It was probability-weighted positioning based on macro facts—not emotion.


The Result: MarketModel Timed the Bounce While Others Waited for Doom

Chart displaying MarketModel’s March 2023 buy signals ahead of a major S&P 500 rebound.

While others expected a second leg lower, our strategy was already scaling in—because the data said the bottom was in.

We didn’t hope. We executed.

📈 +34.2% in 2023, driven by staged scaling, tactical exits, and macro-confirmed entries.

That’s what clarity looks like in a chaotic market.

 

Macro Is the Beacon.

Price Is the Signal.

Strategy Is the Edge.

Throughout 2023, our S&P 500 strategy stayed grounded in one principle:

Price follows Macro.
— Mike Valletutti

And when you trust the process, you get results:

Buy-the-dip setups with macro confirmation
Avoiding fake breakdowns by ignoring clickbait sentiment
Scaling into trends instead of chasing green candles
Exiting with discipline, not emotion

Our approach isn't about guessing where SPX will go next—it's about identifying when probabilities are most in your favor.


At MarketModel Trades, we leverage these macro insights to help you navigate these transitions. Our data-driven approach turns the chaos of recent years into a roadmap for the future—whether you're looking to profit from a market correction or prepare for the next phase of a bull market correction. By focusing on actionable insights rather than fleeting headlines, we provide you with the edge needed to make informed decisions in any market environment.

If you're ready to gain a deeper understanding of these cycles and position your portfolio for the next big move, join us. Read success stories from clients profiting from our strategies during a stock market correction and discover how you can turn macro trends into trading opportunities.

Ready to Trade Smarter?

2023 proved what we’ve always believed: when the crowd panics, data leads.

Now it’s your turn.

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